{"id":5547,"date":"2021-09-07T15:07:09","date_gmt":"2021-09-07T20:07:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nwfl4sale.com\/buyer-demand-didnt-drop-its-hoping-for-a-crash\/"},"modified":"2021-09-07T15:07:09","modified_gmt":"2021-09-07T20:07:09","slug":"buyer-demand-didnt-drop-its-hoping-for-a-crash","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nwfl4sale.com\/buyer-demand-didnt-drop-its-hoping-for-a-crash\/","title":{"rendered":"Buyer Demand Didn\u2019t Drop \u2013 It\u2019s Hoping for a Crash"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Frustrated homebuyers remember the last housing crisis and think it\u2019s going to happen again as prices keep going higher and higher \u2013 but they\u2019ll likely be disappointed.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. \u2013 People who have spent months trying to find an acceptable, affordable home in South Florida are starting to think they\u2019ll wait until the market collapses and they can snatch up a house at a bargain.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n They\u2019re probably going to be disappointed.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Economists and housing experts don\u2019t expect another crash like the one in 2008, when hordes of people got homes at rock-bottom prices and then made out when the values recovered. The world is different now, economists say. The housing bubble from 15 years ago was driven largely by risky lending practices and a frenzy that drove a boom in new construction \u2013 the type of factors that lead to a recession.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Today, prices are skyrocketing as before, but the fever is the result of different forces, including low interest rates and years of underbuilding, partly because of difficulty getting supplies.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n In short, we had too many homes last time; we don\u2019t have enough now.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n \u201cThe market in 2008 was very different from the market we have now,\u201d said Zillow Economic Data Analyst Nicole Bachaud. \u201cWhat we have right now is a market based on scarcity. There is not enough supply.\u201d<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n One of the biggest differences is where the demand for housing is coming from, according to real estate agents. People from all walks of life looking to buy a home today: people wanting to relocate; millennials trying to buy their first home; people looking to upgrade for more space as remote work takes over.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n \u201cNot only do we have strong demand locally, we also have strong demand from people coming in from the Northeast,\u201d said Bonnie Heatzig, executive director of luxury sales at Douglas Elliman in Boca Raton. \u201cThe demand is linked to the number of buyers who are out there circling neighborhoods looking for a home,\u201d<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n The real estate market in the 2000s was mainly driven by the ability to get quick and easy credit, regardless of a buyer\u2019s ability to actually afford the house, said Christina Pappas, vice president at The Keyes Company in Brickell.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n \u201cEverybody was able to purchase a home without the clear ability to pay. There was demand because the credit was available,\u201d Pappas said. \u201cThis demand we have now is fueled by families looking to move to the suburbs.\u201d<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Today\u2019s lending practices are more stringent, with homebuyers now expected to come up with a bigger down payment when they go to buy a home.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n \u201cThe typical person coming in today understands they have to have cash when they come to talk to us, \u2018I know I have to have some money down. I\u2019ve got to have 10% to 15% down,\u2019\u201d said David Druey, Centennial Bank\u2019s Florida regional president. \u201cDuring the Great Recession, we had mortgage companies and banks financing 100% of the purchase price and closing costs. We created our own crisis.\u201d<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Homebuyers are seeing this play out in the market when they go to buy a home, said Robert Esposito, a real estate associate for RelatedISG. \u201cIt\u2019s very lengthy to get anyone approved. They re-check their income and credit to make sure nothing has changed since they went into the final process,\u201d Esposito said.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n For today\u2019s real estate market, lower mortgage rates are contributing to the intensity in the market. Rates for a 30-year fixed mortgage stand at 3.03%, while the rates for a fixed 15 years are 2.30% as of Sept.1, according to Bankrate.com.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Sixty percent of homebuyers who financed with a mortgage said the low rates played a role in their decision to get a home, according to research from Zillow, an online real estate marketplace company.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n \u201cWhat really matters is the monthly payment on the home. With these interest rates, they can afford the houses because the interest rates will stay lower,\u201d Pappas said.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n The lack of homes on the market also is a turnaround from the early 2000s, when oversupply played a role in the market\u2019s downturn, according to Tim Costello, chairman & chief executive at Builder Homesite Inc.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Today, the number of homes on the market has decreased dramatically. In Palm Beach County, listings for homes have plunged 61% compared to four years ago, while homes listed in Broward County decreased 46%. Miami Dade was similar at 39%.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n \u201cCrashes occur when there is an extreme imbalance between supply and demand. Currently we have the opposite. It would take an extreme movement in the market to transition from where we are today to a market on the verge of a crash, \u201c Costello said.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n More recently, Palm Beach County totaled 1.5 months of supply in the market for single family homes, a 55% decrease from the year before. Single-family homes in Broward County dropped 51% to 1.5 months-worth of supply, according to data from the Broward, Palm Beach and St. Lucie Realtors.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n \u201cSo markets where there are increasing numbers of credit-worthy shoppers competing for a diminished inventory of supply create strong markets,\u201d Costello said.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\nIntense demand<\/span><\/span><\/h3>\n
Stricter lending practices<\/span><\/span><\/h3>\n
Shortage of homes<\/span><\/span><\/h3>\n
Rising home prices<\/span><\/span><\/h3>\n