{"id":6285,"date":"2022-03-15T15:07:09","date_gmt":"2022-03-15T20:07:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nwfl4sale.com\/will-ukraine-war-impact-fla-real-estate\/"},"modified":"2022-03-15T15:07:09","modified_gmt":"2022-03-15T20:07:09","slug":"will-ukraine-war-impact-fla-real-estate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nwfl4sale.com\/will-ukraine-war-impact-fla-real-estate\/","title":{"rendered":"Will Ukraine War Impact Fla. Real Estate?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/p>\n
On the one hand, Fla. is the No. 1 state for Russian RE investing \u2013 29% of all U.S. purchases. On the other, Russian buyers make up only 0.8% of all foreign purchases.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n NAPLES, Fla. \u2013 Over the past six years, Russian buyers of U.S. real estate have preferred the sunny coasts of Florida over property in any other state in the nation. Wealthy Russians have reportedly bought so many luxury condo properties in the north Miami city of Sunny Isles Beach that some have termed it \u201cLittle Moscow.\u201d<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n \u201cThey love to be here, and they like to spend their money and enjoy their life,\u201d Lana Bell, a South Florida real estate agent told NewsNation.com.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n But it\u2019s not just the wealthy Russian elites seeking Florida sunshine.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Across the state from Warm Mineral Springs in North Port all the way up to small town of Steinhatchee near the Panhandle, Russians and Eastern Europeans have established communities, according to population data from the U.S. Census Bureau\u2019s American Community Survey.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Over the past six years, 29% of Russian real estate transactions in the United States occurred in Florida, the most in the nation, according to a report from the National Association of Realtors\u00ae (NAR).<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n But even as countries across the world impose sanctions on Russia for invading and waging a brutal war against its neighbor Ukraine, the impact to U.S. home or property prices is not expected to be meaningful, even without any Russian purchases of Florida real estate.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n \u201cRussia has little direct impact on the U.S. real estate market as it accounted for less than 1% (0.8%) of all foreign buyers who purchased U.S. residential property from April 2015 through March 2021, according to data from NAR\u2019s survey of foreign buyer transactions of its members,\u201d covering about 5,000 respondents, the report said. Any effect from the loss of Russian purchases would tend to be at the high end, as the NAR\u2019s report notes that Russian buyers buy more luxury properties than the average Florida buyer.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Still, with the transition of the pandemic to a different phase, the loss of Russian buyers could be offset by the resumption of purchases by people from other countries, as well as within the U.S.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Craig Cerreta, the managing broker for Premier Sotheby\u2019s International Realty\u2019s Sarasota office, said the pandemic caused a near shutdown of foreign buyers, but that the segment has been bouncing back in recent months.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n During the COVID pandemic, real estate prices have drastically increased in Florida as migration brought new residents to the state, with people retiring early or enjoying the ability to work remotely.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Historically, Cerreta said, Canadians, followed by residents of the United Kingdom, have accounted for the majority of international real estate transactions in the Sarasota market.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n \u201cThere is no question that they (Russian purchasers) are small\u201d locally, he said. \u201cBut they are typically high-end buyers.\u201d<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n The NAR data says that the average Russian real estate transaction was about $650,000. The average for all international buyers was about $480,000.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n But, with the demand seen for Florida properties, combined with historically low number of properties for sale, any loss of Russian purchases are being more than made up from demand from other buyers, Cerreta said.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Cerreta recently sold a home he owned in the Sarasota area. During the open house, more than 170 people viewed the residence and 21 people made an offer. Three of the offers came from people in California, something that surprised the longtime real estate agent, as Californians have historically not been a large market for the west coast of Florida.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Any loss of demand from Russian buyers for luxury properties or other property types won\u2019t be felt in the Sarasota market, he said.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n In February, 72% of all real estate sales in the Sarasota market closed at or above the list price compared to 43% at or above list price in February 2021, Cerreta said. \u201cThere\u2019s not enough inventory to meet demand,\u201d he said of the Sarasota market.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Sergei Sokolov, a Realtor with Sarasota\u2019s Michael Saunders & Co., was born in Ukraine but moved to the United States when he was 5 years old. The now-47-year-old real estate professional, fluent in Russian and Ukrainian, said Russian speakers often want a Realtor who speaks their language.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n The first house he sold in Sarasota in 2004 was to a Russian speaker, and he does about three or four transactions a year. Sokolov specializes in entry level homes typically in the $350,000 to $400,000 price range, with the majority of his Russian-speaking buyers already living in the U.S. or Canada and unlikely to be impacted by the Russian-Ukrainian war.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n \u201cI don\u2019t expect there to be much of an impact on my business,\u201d he said. \u201cThere\u2019s just a lot more demand than there is supply.\u201d<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n The next closest U.S. state for Russian buyers was Georgia with 16% of all Russian purchases of U.S. real estate, roughly 13 percentage points behind Florida. New York (13%), California (8%) and Illinois (5%) rounded out the top five states for total transactions from Russian buyers.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n The NAR report said that even in Florida, purchases of real estate made by Russians accounted for just 0.2% of the Sunshine State\u2019s real estate transactions from July 2020 to June 2021. Those numbers may be skewed as the pandemic caused many governments to restrict travel to other countries.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n A 2020 profile on international residential transactions in Florida conducted by the NAR with Florida Realtors, the largest trade organization in the state, concluded that foreign buyers accounted for $15.6 billion in real estate transactions from August 2019 to July 2020 \u2013 about 11% of the state\u2019s sales. The total transaction volume for Florida real estate in that time period was $137 billion dollars.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n However in that report that largely accounted for sales just prior to the pandemic, Russia did not rank among the top 15 counties for any Florida metro besides Miami. The Miami metro market, the largest in Florida, had just 2% of home sales go to Russian buyers.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n The largest group of foreign buyers by transaction volume came from Latin America and the Caribbean with about 37% of the total value of homes purchased by international citizens.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Canadian buyers had the most transactions at 21% followed by Brazil (7%), Argentina (6%), Venezuela (5%), Columbia (5%) and the United Kingdom (5%).<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n The metro area of Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach had the lion\u2019s share of foreign buyers with 47.3% of all purchases. The Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater metro accounted for 11%; Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford had 9.7%, North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton had 6.9% and Cape Coral-Fort Myers came in at 4.7%.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n While Russians account for a tiny fraction of all real estate purchases in Florida, the real impact of the conflict may be felt at the gas pump as international buyers cut ties with Russian energy. President Joe Biden announced a ban on Russian oil earlier this week.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Chris Jones, president of Florida Economic Advisors and a University of South Florida faculty member at USF in the economics department, agreed with the real estate experts that the reduction in demand from Russian buyers for U.S. real estate won\u2019t shift home prices in Florida.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n However, the impact of rising gas prices could be dangerous for the U.S. economy, he said.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n He anticipates that gas prices will increase at least another 50 cents before the end of May, with peak price per gallon of gasoline surpassing $5 per gallon this year. As people pay more at the pump, they have less money to spend on goods and services that drive the economy, which he believes will lead to a decrease in the nation\u2019s economic output.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\nTight supply<\/span><\/span><\/h3>\n
Varied buyers<\/span><\/span><\/h3>\n
Larger economic issues<\/span><\/span><\/h3>\n